First League badgeFirst League · 18 May 2026AI PICK

Beroe badgeBeroevsSeptemvri Sofia badgeSeptemvri Sofia

0 - 1
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
69.4%
Market said
64.9%
Edge
+4.5 pts
Best odds
1.54

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.54

MediumEdge +4.5%
Our model69.4%
The market64.9%

The market underrated this by 4.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Beroe badge

Beroe

Attack32
Defence58
Form38
Septemvri Sofia badge

Septemvri Sofia

Attack29
Defence40
Form31

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +12.5%
Our model85.0%
The market72.5%
Edge
+12.5
Odds
1.38

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +4.5%Correct
Our model69.4%
The market64.9%
Edge
+4.5
Odds
1.54

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +8.4%Correct
Our model65.5%
The market57.1%
Edge
+8.4
Odds
1.75

Draw No Bet

Beroe (DNB)

Miss
Our model53.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-4.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Beroe Win

Edge +16.6%Miss
Our model49.7%
The market33.1%
Edge
+16.6
Odds
3.02

Correct Score

Score: 0-0

Edge +2.6%Miss
Our model20.4%
The market17.8%
Edge
+2.6
Odds
5.63

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-0

20.4%

1-0

19.7%

0-1

17.5% · actual

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.