USL Championship badgeUSL Championship · 14 June 2026AI PICK

Birmingham Legion badgeBirmingham LegionvsLas Vegas Lights badgeLas Vegas Lights

1 - 2
Miss

Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.9%
Market said
48.8%
Edge
+10.1 pts
Best odds
2.05

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Birmingham Legion Win

Match Winner · best price 2.05

MediumEdge +10.1%
Our model58.9%
The market48.8%

The market underrated this by 10.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Birmingham Legion badge

Birmingham Legion

Attack46
Defence63
Form42
Las Vegas Lights badge

Las Vegas Lights

Attack42
Defence42
Form29

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.0%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market80.0%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.25

Match Winner

Birmingham Legion Win

Edge +10.1%Miss
Our model58.9%
The market48.8%
Edge
+10.1
Odds
2.05

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +4.5%Close
Our model54.5%
The market50.0%
Edge
+4.5
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Birmingham Legion (DNB)

Miss
Our model54.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-3.1
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Our model44.2%
The market47.6%
Edge
-3.4
Odds
2.10

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +1.8%
Our model13.4%
The market11.6%
Edge
+1.8
Odds
8.59

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

13.4%

0-1

10.9%

1-1

10.7%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.