USL Championship badgeUSL Championship · 4 June 2026AI PICK

Birmingham Legion badgeBirmingham LegionvsLouisville City badgeLouisville City

1 - 1
Correct

Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
60.9%
Market said
59.9%
Edge
+1.0 pts
Best odds
1.67

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.67

MediumEdge +1.0%
Our model60.9%
The market59.9%

The market underrated this by 1.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Birmingham Legion badge

Birmingham Legion

Attack41
Defence56
Form37
Louisville City badge

Louisville City

Attack70
Defence48
Form60

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +3.0%Miss
Our model85.0%
The market82.0%
Edge
+3.0
Odds
1.22

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +1.0%Correct
Our model60.9%
The market59.9%
Edge
+1.0
Odds
1.67

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +0.7%Close
Our model59.5%
The market58.8%
Edge
+0.7
Odds
1.70

Match Winner

Louisville City Win

Miss
Our model49.2%
The market57.8%
Edge
-8.6
Odds
1.73

Draw No Bet

Louisville City (DNB)

Void
Our model43.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-14.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +1.3%
Our model10.1%
The market8.8%
Edge
+1.3
Odds
11.39

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

10.1%

1-2

9.8%

1-1

8.7% · actual

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.