USL Championship badgeUSL Championship · 2 August 2026AI PICK

Birmingham Legion badgeBirmingham LegionvsRhode Island badgeRhode Island

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 1 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.4%
Market said
51.6%
Edge
+5.8 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.85

MediumEdge +5.8%
Our model57.4%
The market51.6%

The market underrated this by 5.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Birmingham Legion badge

Birmingham Legion

Attack50
Defence63
Form42
Rhode Island badge

Rhode Island

Attack67
Defence69
Form56

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model74.8%
The market80.0%
Edge
-5.2
Odds
1.25

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +5.8%Miss
Our model57.4%
The market51.6%
Edge
+5.8
Odds
1.85

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +0.9%Miss
Our model57.2%
The market56.3%
Edge
+0.9
Odds
1.73

Draw No Bet

Rhode Island (DNB)

Miss
Our model56.2%
The market57.1%
Edge
-0.9
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Rhode Island Win

Miss
Our model43.3%
The market48.8%
Edge
-5.5
Odds
2.05

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model9.0%
The market10.3%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.67

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.0%

1-1

11.3%

2-1

7.5%

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.