Championship · 1 September 2026AI PICK
Birminghamvs
Southampton
1 - 1Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 58.2%
- Market said
- 55.6%
- Edge
- +2.6 pts
- Best odds
- 1.80
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.80
The market underrated this by 2.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Birmingham
Southampton
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 4 right, 1 close
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- -0.7
- Odds
- 1.30
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +2.6
- Odds
- 1.80
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -6.0
- Odds
- 1.67
Draw No Bet
Southampton (DNB)
- Edge
- +1.0
- Odds
- 2.02
Match Winner
Southampton Win
- Edge
- +0.2
- Odds
- 2.61
Correct Score
Score: 1-2
- Edge
- -1.2
- Odds
- 10.76
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-2
8.1%
1-1
9.6% · actual
2-1
7.7%
We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.