Blackburnvs
Middlesbrough
2 - 1Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 59.4%
- Market said
- 48.2%
- Edge
- +11.2 pts
- Best odds
- 2.00
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.00
The market underrated this by 11.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Blackburn
Middlesbrough
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 4 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
No bookmaker price published for this market
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +11.2
- Odds
- 2.00
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -1.5
- Odds
- 1.83
Draw No Bet
Middlesbrough (DNB)
No bookmaker price published for this market
Match Winner
Middlesbrough Win
- Edge
- -15.0
- Odds
- 2.05
Correct Score
Score: 1-2
- Edge
- -1.2
- Odds
- 10.39
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-2
8.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-1
8.4% · actual
We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.