Serie D badgeSerie D · 27 June 2026AI PICK

Blumenau badgeBlumenauvsSão Luiz badgeSão Luiz

1 - 1
Close

Full time · 2 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.4%
Market said
38.2%
Edge
+17.2 pts
Best odds
2.62

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.62

MediumEdge +17.2%
Our model55.4%
The market38.2%

The market underrated this by 17.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Blumenau badge

Blumenau

Attack80
Defence80
Form58
São Luiz badge

São Luiz

Attack40
Defence63
Form44

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +2.0%Correct
Our model84.0%
The market82.0%
Edge
+2.0
Odds
1.22

Draw No Bet

Blumenau (DNB)

Void
Our model56.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.1
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +17.2%Close
Our model55.4%
The market38.2%
Edge
+17.2
Odds
2.62

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +7.2%Correct
Our model51.6%
The market44.4%
Edge
+7.2
Odds
2.25

Match Winner

Blumenau Win

Miss
Our model48.7%
The market48.8%
Edge
-0.1
Odds
2.05

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +1.6%
Our model11.9%
The market10.3%
Edge
+1.6
Odds
9.69

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

11.9%

2-0

11.0%

2-1

9.9%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.