CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 11 August 2026AI PICK
Boca Juniorsvs
Deportivo Recoleta
3 - 1Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 54.6%
- Market said
- 40.0%
- Edge
- +14.6 pts
- Best odds
- 2.50
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectBoth Teams To Score: Yes
Both Teams To Score · best price 2.50
The market underrated this by 14.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Boca Juniors
Deportivo Recoleta
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 4 right
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- +47.7
- Odds
- 4.00
Draw No Bet
Deportivo Recoleta (DNB)
- Edge
- +3.2
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +14.6
- Odds
- 2.50
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- -4.3
- Odds
- 1.70
Match Winner
Deportivo Recoleta Win
- Edge
- +34.0
- Odds
- 11.00
Correct Score
Score: 1-2
- Edge
- -1.4
- Odds
- 9.14
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-2
9.5%
1-1
11.9%
0-2
7.3%
We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.