CONMEBOL Sudamericana badgeCONMEBOL Sudamericana · 9 September 2026AI PICK

Boca Juniors badgeBoca JuniorsvsSao Paulo badgeSao Paulo

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.7%
Market said
43.1%
Edge
+11.6 pts
Best odds
2.18

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.18

LowEdge +11.6%
Our model54.7%
The market43.1%

The market underrated this by 11.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Boca Juniors badge

Boca Juniors

Attack67
Defence68
Form67
Sao Paulo badge

Sao Paulo

Attack53
Defence54
Form41

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model72.4%
The market83.3%
Edge
-10.9
Odds
1.20

Draw No Bet

Boca Juniors (DNB)

Correct
Our model61.2%
The market74.1%
Edge
-12.9
Odds
1.35

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +11.6%Miss
Our model54.7%
The market43.1%
Edge
+11.6
Odds
2.18

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +14.7%Miss
Our model54.1%
The market39.4%
Edge
+14.7
Odds
2.52

Match Winner

Boca Juniors Win

Correct
Our model43.6%
The market54.3%
Edge
-10.7
Odds
1.84

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.6%
The market11.0%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.09

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.6%

1-1

12.7%

2-0

8.0%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.