Primera B badgePrimera B · 18 May 2026AI PICK

Bogota FC badgeBogota FCvsReal Cartagena badgeReal Cartagena

1 - 2
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
56.7%
Market said
54.1%
Edge
+2.6 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.85

MediumEdge +2.6%
Our model56.7%
The market54.1%

The market underrated this by 2.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Bogota FC badge

Bogota FC

Attack46
Defence51
Form49
Real Cartagena badge

Real Cartagena

Attack70
Defence45
Form51

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +2.6%Correct
Our model56.7%
The market54.1%
Edge
+2.6
Odds
1.85

Match Winner

Bogota FC Win

Edge +17.6%Miss
Our model50.9%
The market33.3%
Edge
+17.6
Odds
3.00

Draw No Bet

Bogota FC (DNB)

Miss
Our model44.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-13.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +1.7%
Our model13.0%
The market11.3%
Edge
+1.7
Odds
8.86

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

13.0%

1-1

10.4%

1-0

10.0%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.