Premier Division badgePremier Division · 21 August 2026AI PICK

Bohemians badgeBohemiansvsDerry City badgeDerry City

5 - 3
Correct

Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
59.4%
Market said
47.9%
Edge
+11.5 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.00

MediumEdge +11.5%
Our model59.4%
The market47.9%

The market underrated this by 11.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Bohemians badge

Bohemians

Attack60
Defence55
Form51
Derry City badge

Derry City

Attack54
Defence54
Form40

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model69.1%
The market79.4%
Edge
-10.3
Odds
1.26

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +11.5%Correct
Our model59.4%
The market47.9%
Edge
+11.5
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Bohemians (DNB)

Correct
Our model57.8%
The market64.5%
Edge
-6.7
Odds
1.55

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model52.7%
The market52.9%
Edge
-0.2
Odds
1.91

Match Winner

Bohemians Win

Correct
Our model42.3%
The market54.6%
Edge
-12.3
Odds
1.83

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.0%
The market10.3%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.67

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.0%

1-1

11.3%

1-2

7.5%

We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.