Segunda División badgeSegunda División · 3 May 2026AI PICK

Bolívar badgeBolívarvsAragua FC badgeAragua FC

0 - 0
Correct

Full time · 1 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
67.7%
Market said
66.7%
Edge
+1.0 pts
Best odds
1.50

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.50

MediumEdge +1.0%
Our model67.7%
The market66.7%

The market underrated this by 1.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Bolívar badge

Bolívar

Attack47
Defence48
Form54
Aragua FC badge

Aragua FC

Attack31
Defence80
Form46

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +8.1%
Our model85.0%
The market76.9%
Edge
+8.1
Odds
1.30

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +1.0%Correct
Our model67.7%
The market66.7%
Edge
+1.0
Odds
1.50

Draw No Bet

Bolívar (DNB)

Edge +1.9%Void
Our model59.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+1.9
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Bolívar Win

Edge +2.0%Miss
Our model52.0%
The market50.0%
Edge
+2.0
Odds
2.00

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model44.8%
The market54.1%
Edge
-9.3
Odds
1.85

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.