CONMEBOL Libertadores badgeCONMEBOL Libertadores · 30 April 2026AI PICK

Bolívar badgeBolívarvsFluminense badgeFluminense

2 - 0
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Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
78.5%
Market said
55.6%
Edge
+22.9 pts
Best odds
1.80

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.80

High confidenceEdge +22.9%
Our model78.5%
The market55.6%

The market underrated this by 22.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Bolívar badge

Bolívar

Attack100
Defence42
Form62
Fluminense badge

Fluminense

Attack71
Defence42
Form49

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +11.5%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market73.5%
Edge
+11.5
Odds
1.36

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +22.9%Close
Our model78.5%
The market55.6%
Edge
+22.9
Odds
1.80

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +6.2%Miss
Our model67.9%
The market61.7%
Edge
+6.2
Odds
1.62

Draw No Bet

Bolívar (DNB)

Edge +3.9%Correct
Our model61.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+3.9
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Bolívar Win

Edge +8.6%Correct
Our model58.6%
The market50.0%
Edge
+8.6
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.