CONMEBOL Sudamericana badgeCONMEBOL Sudamericana · 23 July 2026AI PICK

Bolívar badgeBolívarvsGremio badgeGremio

3 - 2
Correct

Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.2%
Market said
56.3%
Edge
+4.9 pts
Best odds
1.73

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.73

MediumEdge +4.9%
Our model61.2%
The market56.3%

The market underrated this by 4.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Bolívar badge

Bolívar

Attack73
Defence54
Form44
Gremio badge

Gremio

Attack67
Defence58
Form56

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 4 right

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +4.9%Correct
Our model61.2%
The market56.3%
Edge
+4.9
Odds
1.73

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +3.8%Correct
Our model58.8%
The market55.0%
Edge
+3.8
Odds
1.75

Draw No Bet

Bolívar (DNB)

Correct
Our model54.5%
The market57.1%
Edge
-2.6
Odds
1.75

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model51.7%
The market82.0%
Edge
-30.3
Odds
1.22

Match Winner

Bolívar Win

Correct
Our model42.8%
The market58.8%
Edge
-16.0
Odds
1.70

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.0%
The market10.3%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.67

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.0%

1-1

11.3%

1-2

7.5%

We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.