CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 12 August 2026AI PICK
Bolívarvs
Sao Paulo
1 - 1Full time · 2 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 54.5%
- Market said
- 53.3%
- Edge
- +1.2 pts
- Best odds
- 1.80
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.80
The market underrated this by 1.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Bolívar
Sao Paulo
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 4 right, 1 close
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -9.3
- Odds
- 1.22
Draw No Bet
Bolívar (DNB)
- Edge
- +12.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +1.2
- Odds
- 1.80
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -3.6
- Odds
- 1.73
Match Winner
Bolívar Win
- Edge
- -0.9
- Odds
- 1.90
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- -1.5
- Odds
- 8.73
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
10.0%
1-1
12.9% · actual
2-0
9.7%
We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.