Bolognavs
Lazio
0 - 1Miss
Full time · 0 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 60.0%
- Market said
- 43.7%
- Edge
- +16.3 pts
- Best odds
- 2.20
The call, locked before kick-off
MissOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.20
MediumEdge +16.3%
Our model60.0%
The market43.7%
The market underrated this by 16.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Strong prediction - high confidence
Every market we called
0 of 4 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
Edge +9.6%
Our model82.1%
The market72.5%
- Edge
- +9.6
- Odds
- 1.38
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
Edge +16.3%Miss
Our model60.0%
The market43.7%
- Edge
- +16.3
- Odds
- 2.20
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
Edge +3.5%Miss
Our model54.2%
The market50.7%
- Edge
- +3.5
- Odds
- 1.95
Draw No Bet
Bologna (DNB)
Miss
Our model50.1%
The market59.9%
- Edge
- -9.8
- Odds
- 1.67
Match Winner
Bologna Win
Miss
Our model41.1%
The market42.7%
- Edge
- -1.6
- Odds
- 2.34
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 0 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.