Regionalliga - West badgeRegionalliga - West · 14 August 2026AI PICK

Bonner SC badgeBonner SCvsSportfreunde Lotte badgeSportfreunde Lotte

2 - 2
Miss

Full time · 1 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.4%
Market said
49.5%
Edge
+8.9 pts
Best odds
2.02

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.02

MediumEdge +8.9%
Our model58.4%
The market49.5%

The market underrated this by 8.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Bonner SC badge

Bonner SC

Attack38
Defence29
Form11
Sportfreunde Lotte badge

Sportfreunde Lotte

Attack24
Defence34
Form19

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model72.1%
The market88.5%
Edge
-16.4
Odds
1.13

Draw No Bet

Bonner SC (DNB)

Edge +4.9%Void
Our model62.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+4.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +8.9%Miss
Our model58.4%
The market49.5%
Edge
+8.9
Odds
2.02

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +4.9%Miss
Our model53.2%
The market48.3%
Edge
+4.9
Odds
2.07

Match Winner

Bonner SC Win

Miss
Our model43.1%
The market59.9%
Edge
-16.8
Odds
1.67

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model16.3%
The market18.8%
Edge
-2.5
Odds
5.33

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

16.3%

0-0

16.6%

1-1

14.2%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.