Borussia Dortmundvs
Villarreal
3 - 2Correct
Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- We called
- Over 2.5 Goals
- Model confidence
- 58.6%
- Markets called
- 4 of 4 right
- Final score
- 3 - 2
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.50
MediumEdge -4.4%
Our model58.6%
The market63.0%
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
Every market we called
4 of 4 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
Our model74.5%
The market79.4%
- Edge
- -4.9
- Odds
- 1.26
Draw No Bet
Borussia Dortmund (DNB)
Correct
Our model67.1%
The market69.9%
- Edge
- -2.8
- Odds
- 1.43
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
Correct
Our model58.6%
The market63.0%
- Edge
- -4.4
- Odds
- 1.50
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
Correct
Our model53.3%
The market63.4%
- Edge
- -10.1
- Odds
- 1.51
Match Winner
Borussia Dortmund Win
Correct
Our model52.0%
The market54.6%
- Edge
- -2.6
- Odds
- 1.83
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
Miss
Our model8.7%
The market10.1%
- Edge
- -1.4
- Odds
- 9.95
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
8.7%
1-1
9.0%
2-2
7.0%
We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.