Primera División - Apertura · 16 May 2026AI PICK
Boston Rivervs
Cerro
4 - 1Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 66.2%
- Market said
- 50.0%
- Edge
- +16.2 pts
- Best odds
- 2.00
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectBoston River Win
Match Winner · best price 2.00
The market underrated this by 16.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Strong prediction - high confidence
How the two sides compared
Boston River
Cerro
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 4 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +13.6
- Odds
- 1.40
Match Winner
Boston River Win
- Edge
- +16.2
- Odds
- 2.00
Draw No Bet
Boston River (DNB)
- Edge
- +3.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +7.1
- Odds
- 1.90
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -16.6
- Odds
- 1.85
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- +3.1
- Odds
- 4.79
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
24.0%
0-0
20.6%
0-1
12.8%
We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.