Primera División - Apertura · 20 April 2026AI PICK
Boston Rivervs
Cerro Largo
1 - 0Correct
Full time · 1 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- We called
- Under 2.5 Goals
- Model confidence
- 65.0%
- Markets called
- 1 of 4 right
- Final score
- 1 - 0
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.50
MediumEdge -1.7%
Our model65.0%
The market66.7%
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Boston River
Attack30
Defence51
Form31
Cerro Largo
Attack52
Defence39
Form41
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 4 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
Edge +11.5%
Our model85.0%
The market73.5%
- Edge
- +11.5
- Odds
- 1.36
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
Correct
Our model65.0%
The market66.7%
- Edge
- -1.7
- Odds
- 1.50
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
Miss
Our model45.7%
The market47.6%
- Edge
- -1.9
- Odds
- 2.10
Match Winner
Cerro Largo Win
Miss
Our model44.9%
The market50.0%
- Edge
- -5.1
- Odds
- 2.00
Draw No Bet
Cerro Largo (DNB)
Miss
Our model43.0%
The market57.1%
- Edge
- -14.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.