National League Cup badgeNational League Cup · 18 August 2026AI PICK

Boston United badgeBoston UnitedvsBirmingham City U21 badgeBirmingham City U21

2 - 3
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.4%
Market said
36.4%
Edge
+22.0 pts
Best odds
2.75

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.75

MediumEdge +22.0%
Our model58.4%
The market36.4%

The market underrated this by 22.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Boston United badge

Boston United

Attack17
Defence90
Form39
Birmingham City U21 badge

Birmingham City U21

Attack50
Defence50
Form50

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +22.9%Correct
Our model75.3%
The market52.4%
Edge
+22.9
Odds
1.91

Draw No Bet

Birmingham City U21 (DNB)

Edge +12.6%Correct
Our model69.7%
The market57.1%
Edge
+12.6
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +22.0%Miss
Our model58.4%
The market36.4%
Edge
+22.0
Odds
2.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Miss
Our model53.2%
The market54.1%
Edge
-0.9
Odds
1.85

Match Winner

Birmingham City U21 Win

Edge +11.5%Correct
Our model42.3%
The market30.8%
Edge
+11.5
Odds
3.25

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Miss
Our model18.3%
The market21.1%
Edge
-2.8
Odds
4.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

18.3%

0-0

18.1%

1-1

13.5%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.