Serie C badgeSerie C · 22 August 2026AI PICK

Botafogo PB badgeBotafogo PBvsGuarani Campinas badgeGuarani Campinas

3 - 1
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
59.4%
Market said
55.6%
Edge
+3.8 pts
Best odds
1.80

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.80

MediumEdge +3.8%
Our model59.4%
The market55.6%

The market underrated this by 3.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Botafogo PB badge

Botafogo PB

Attack58
Defence50
Form49
Guarani Campinas badge

Guarani Campinas

Attack82
Defence48
Form51

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +3.4%Correct
Our model79.2%
The market75.8%
Edge
+3.4
Odds
1.32

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +3.8%Correct
Our model59.4%
The market55.6%
Edge
+3.8
Odds
1.80

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model52.7%
The market61.7%
Edge
-9.0
Odds
1.62

Draw No Bet

Botafogo PB (DNB)

Correct
Our model51.8%
The market61.3%
Edge
-9.5
Odds
1.63

Match Winner

Botafogo PB Win

Correct
Our model41.0%
The market46.1%
Edge
-5.1
Odds
2.17

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model9.1%
The market10.4%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.58

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.1%

1-1

10.8%

2-1

7.2%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.