CONMEBOL Sudamericana badgeCONMEBOL Sudamericana · 28 April 2026AI PICK

Botafogo badgeBotafogovsIndependiente Petrolero badgeIndependiente Petrolero

3 - 0
Miss

Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
60.3%
Market said
42.0%
Edge
+18.3 pts
Best odds
2.38

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.38

MediumEdge +18.3%
Our model60.3%
The market42.0%

The market underrated this by 18.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Botafogo badge

Botafogo

Attack84
Defence32
Form56
Independiente Petrolero badge

Independiente Petrolero

Attack62
Defence19
Form28

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model85.0%
The market94.3%
Edge
-9.3
Odds
1.06

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +18.3%Miss
Our model60.3%
The market42.0%
Edge
+18.3
Odds
2.38

Match Winner

Botafogo Win

Edge +9.4%Correct
Our model59.4%
The market50.0%
Edge
+9.4
Odds
2.00

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model57.4%
The market75.2%
Edge
-17.8
Odds
1.33

Draw No Bet

Botafogo (DNB)

Correct
Our model57.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-0.1
Odds
1.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.