Serie A · 16 July 2026AI PICK
Botafogovs
Santos
2 - 1Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 64.5%
- Market said
- 52.2%
- Edge
- +12.3 pts
- Best odds
- 1.85
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.85
The market underrated this by 12.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Botafogo
Santos
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
4 of 4 right
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +12.3
- Odds
- 1.85
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +4.2
- Odds
- 1.70
Draw No Bet
Botafogo (DNB)
- Edge
- -0.3
- Odds
- 1.75
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -28.3
- Odds
- 1.25
Match Winner
Botafogo Win
- Edge
- -9.7
- Odds
- 1.95
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- -1.2
- Odds
- 10.29
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
8.5% · actual
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.2%
We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.