First League · 12 May 2026AI PICK
Botev Plovdivvs
Arda Kardzhali
1 - 2Full time · 2 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 67.7%
- Market said
- 56.5%
- Edge
- +11.2 pts
- Best odds
- 1.77
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.77
The market underrated this by 11.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Botev Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 5 right, 1 close
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +11.5
- Odds
- 1.36
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +11.2
- Odds
- 1.77
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -1.0
- Odds
- 1.76
Draw No Bet
Botev Plovdiv (DNB)
- Edge
- -2.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Botev Plovdiv Win
- Edge
- -2.1
- Odds
- 2.00
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- +1.8
- Odds
- 8.59
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
13.4%
0-1
10.9%
1-1
10.7%
We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.