First League · 16 May 2026AI PICK
Botev Plovdivvs
Cherno More Varna
5 - 0Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 71.3%
- Market said
- 62.5%
- Edge
- +8.8 pts
- Best odds
- 1.60
The call, locked before kick-off
MissUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.60
The market underrated this by 8.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Botev Plovdiv
Cherno More Varna
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 4 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +10.9
- Odds
- 1.35
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +8.8
- Odds
- 1.60
Draw No Bet
Botev Plovdiv (DNB)
- Edge
- +1.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Botev Plovdiv Win
- Edge
- +8.5
- Odds
- 2.51
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -9.8
- Odds
- 1.89
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- +2.6
- Odds
- 5.80
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
19.8%
0-0
13.1%
0-1
12.4%
We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.