First League badgeFirst League · 1 August 2026AI PICK

Botev Plovdiv badgeBotev PlovdivvsCherno More Varna badgeCherno More Varna

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
77.1%
Market said
48.0%
Edge
+29.1 pts
Best odds
2.25

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.25

High confidenceEdge +29.1%
Our model77.1%
The market48.0%

The market underrated this by 29.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Botev Plovdiv badge

Botev Plovdiv

Attack100
Defence90
Form78
Cherno More Varna badge

Cherno More Varna

Attack56
Defence85
Form60

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +3.9%Correct
Our model80.8%
The market76.9%
Edge
+3.9
Odds
1.30

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +29.1%Miss
Our model77.1%
The market48.0%
Edge
+29.1
Odds
2.25

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +17.7%Miss
Our model70.5%
The market52.8%
Edge
+17.7
Odds
1.91

Draw No Bet

Botev Plovdiv (DNB)

Edge +12.0%Correct
Our model69.1%
The market57.1%
Edge
+12.0
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Botev Plovdiv Win

Edge +11.0%Correct
Our model58.6%
The market47.6%
Edge
+11.0
Odds
2.10

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model8.6%
The market9.9%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
10.06

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.6%

3-1

7.8%

1-1

7.2%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.