First League · 21 July 2026AI PICK
Botev Plovdivvs
Lokomotiv Sofia
1 - 1Full time · 2 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 64.5%
- Market said
- 53.5%
- Edge
- +11.0 pts
- Best odds
- 1.85
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.85
The market underrated this by 11.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Strong prediction - high confidence
Every market we called
2 of 4 right, 1 close
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -10.6
- Odds
- 1.17
Draw No Bet
Botev Plovdiv (DNB)
- Edge
- +14.3
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +11.0
- Odds
- 1.85
Match Winner
Botev Plovdiv Win
- Edge
- +4.2
- Odds
- 1.70
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +0.9
- Odds
- 1.80
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- -1.3
- Odds
- 9.81
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
8.9%
3-1
8.0%
1-1
7.4% · actual
We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.