Botev Vratsavs
Beroe
3 - 0Full time · 2 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 72.1%
- Market said
- 57.8%
- Edge
- +14.3 pts
- Best odds
- 1.73
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.73
The market underrated this by 14.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Botev Vratsa
Beroe
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 4 right, 1 close
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +3.7
- Odds
- 1.23
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +14.3
- Odds
- 1.73
Draw No Bet
Botev Vratsa (DNB)
- Edge
- -1.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -1.6
- Odds
- 1.90
Match Winner
Botev Vratsa Win
- Edge
- -2.5
- Odds
- 1.91
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- +2.4
- Odds
- 6.24
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
18.4%
0-1
13.9%
0-0
13.0%
We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.