First League · 19 July 2026AI PICK
Botev Vratsavs
Cherno More Varna
1 - 1Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 55.8%
- Market said
- 38.4%
- Edge
- +17.4 pts
- Best odds
- 2.60
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.60
The market underrated this by 17.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
Every market we called
1 of 4 right, 1 close
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +0.7
- Odds
- 1.36
Draw No Bet
Cherno More Varna (DNB)
- Edge
- -0.3
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +17.4
- Odds
- 2.60
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +7.3
- Odds
- 2.10
Match Winner
Cherno More Varna Win
- Edge
- +4.6
- Odds
- 2.62
Correct Score
Score: 1-2
- Edge
- -1.3
- Odds
- 10.02
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-2
8.7%
1-1
13.1% · actual
2-1
8.1%
We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.