First League badgeFirst League · 10 August 2026AI PICK

Botev Vratsa badgeBotev VratsavsSlavia Sofia badgeSlavia Sofia

0 - 3
Correct

Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
56.5%
Market said
43.8%
Edge
+12.7 pts
Best odds
2.20

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.20

MediumEdge +12.7%
Our model56.5%
The market43.8%

The market underrated this by 12.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Botev Vratsa badge

Botev Vratsa

Attack50
Defence50
Form39
Slavia Sofia badge

Slavia Sofia

Attack91
Defence55
Form56

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +18.1%Correct
Our model72.7%
The market54.6%
Edge
+18.1
Odds
1.83

Draw No Bet

Slavia Sofia (DNB)

Edge +12.9%Correct
Our model70.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+12.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +12.7%Correct
Our model56.5%
The market43.8%
Edge
+12.7
Odds
2.20

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +5.2%Miss
Our model54.6%
The market49.4%
Edge
+5.2
Odds
2.00

Match Winner

Slavia Sofia Win

Edge +26.1%Correct
Our model51.7%
The market25.6%
Edge
+26.1
Odds
3.90

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Close
Our model9.6%
The market11.0%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.08

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.6%

1-1

9.8%

0-2

7.4%

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.