First League badgeFirst League · 2 May 2026AI PICK

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2 - 1
Close

Full time · 2 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
80.9%
Market said
55.6%
Edge
+25.3 pts
Best odds
1.80

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.80

High confidenceEdge +25.3%
Our model80.9%
The market55.6%

The market underrated this by 25.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

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Botev Vratsa

Attack37
Defence58
Form36
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Spartak Varna

Attack26
Defence30
Form22

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +3.7%
Our model85.0%
The market81.3%
Edge
+3.7
Odds
1.23

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +25.3%Close
Our model80.9%
The market55.6%
Edge
+25.3
Odds
1.80

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +11.4%Miss
Our model66.0%
The market54.6%
Edge
+11.4
Odds
1.83

Match Winner

Botev Vratsa Win

Edge +8.1%Correct
Our model58.1%
The market50.0%
Edge
+8.1
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Botev Vratsa (DNB)

Edge +0.9%Correct
Our model58.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+0.9
Odds
1.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.