Ligue 3 badgeLigue 3 · 5 September 2026AI PICK

Bourg-en-bresse 01 badgeBourg-en-bresse 01vsCaen badgeCaen

0 - 2
Correct

Full time · 4 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
59.7%
Market said
49.8%
Edge
+9.9 pts
Best odds
2.01

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Caen Win

Match Winner · best price 2.01

MediumEdge +9.9%
Our model59.7%
The market49.8%

The market underrated this by 9.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Bourg-en-bresse 01 badge

Bourg-en-bresse 01

Attack30
Defence33
Form22
Caen badge

Caen

Attack100
Defence36
Form59

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +7.6%Correct
Our model87.6%
The market80.0%
Edge
+7.6
Odds
1.25

Draw No Bet

Caen (DNB)

Edge +20.7%Correct
Our model82.8%
The market62.1%
Edge
+20.7
Odds
1.61

Match Winner

Caen Win

Edge +9.9%Correct
Our model59.7%
The market49.8%
Edge
+9.9
Odds
2.01

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +6.8%Correct
Our model54.6%
The market47.8%
Edge
+6.8
Odds
2.08

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +2.0%Close
Our model54.6%
The market52.6%
Edge
+2.0
Odds
1.80

Correct Score

Score: 0-2

Correct
Our model13.1%
The market15.1%
Edge
-2.0
Odds
6.62

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-2

13.1% · actual

0-3

10.5%

0-1

9.9%

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.