Bourg-en-bresse 01vs
Caen
0 - 2Full time · 4 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 59.7%
- Market said
- 49.8%
- Edge
- +9.9 pts
- Best odds
- 2.01
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectCaen Win
Match Winner · best price 2.01
The market underrated this by 9.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Strong prediction - high confidence
How the two sides compared
Bourg-en-bresse 01
Caen
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
4 of 5 right, 1 close
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- +7.6
- Odds
- 1.25
Draw No Bet
Caen (DNB)
- Edge
- +20.7
- Odds
- 1.61
Match Winner
Caen Win
- Edge
- +9.9
- Odds
- 2.01
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +6.8
- Odds
- 2.08
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +2.0
- Odds
- 1.80
Correct Score
Score: 0-2
- Edge
- -2.0
- Odds
- 6.62
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-2
13.1% · actual
0-3
10.5%
0-1
9.9%
We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.