Ligue 3 badgeLigue 3 · 20 August 2026AI PICK

Bourg-en-bresse 01 badgeBourg-en-bresse 01vsThionville Lusitanos badgeThionville Lusitanos

0 - 2
Close

Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
60.0%
Market said
54.1%
Edge
+5.9 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.85

MediumEdge +5.9%
Our model60.0%
The market54.1%

The market underrated this by 5.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Bourg-en-bresse 01 badge

Bourg-en-bresse 01

Attack42
Defence40
Form33
Thionville Lusitanos badge

Thionville Lusitanos

Attack100
Defence60
Form87

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +10.3%Correct
Our model83.8%
The market73.5%
Edge
+10.3
Odds
1.36

Draw No Bet

Thionville Lusitanos (DNB)

Edge +23.3%Correct
Our model77.6%
The market54.3%
Edge
+23.3
Odds
1.84

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +5.9%Close
Our model60.0%
The market54.1%
Edge
+5.9
Odds
1.85

Match Winner

Thionville Lusitanos Win

Edge +10.5%Correct
Our model56.0%
The market45.5%
Edge
+10.5
Odds
2.20

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model52.7%
The market55.6%
Edge
-2.9
Odds
1.80

Correct Score

Score: 1-3

Miss
Our model8.4%
The market9.7%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
10.36

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-3

8.4%

0-3

7.6%

1-4

7.6%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.