Bourg-en-bresse 01vs
Thionville Lusitanos
0 - 2Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 60.0%
- Market said
- 54.1%
- Edge
- +5.9 pts
- Best odds
- 1.85
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.85
The market underrated this by 5.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Strong prediction - high confidence
How the two sides compared
Bourg-en-bresse 01
Thionville Lusitanos
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 5 right, 1 close
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- +10.3
- Odds
- 1.36
Draw No Bet
Thionville Lusitanos (DNB)
- Edge
- +23.3
- Odds
- 1.84
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +5.9
- Odds
- 1.85
Match Winner
Thionville Lusitanos Win
- Edge
- +10.5
- Odds
- 2.20
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -2.9
- Odds
- 1.80
Correct Score
Score: 1-3
- Edge
- -1.3
- Odds
- 10.36
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-3
8.4%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
7.6%
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.