Premier League badgePremier League · 19 May 2026AI PICK

Bournemouth badgeBournemouthvsManchester City badgeManchester City

1 - 1
Close

Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
70.7%
Market said
69.4%
Edge
+1.3 pts
Best odds
1.44

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.44

High confidenceEdge +1.3%
Our model70.7%
The market69.4%

The market underrated this by 1.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Bournemouth badge

Bournemouth

Attack54
Defence86
Form64
Manchester City badge

Manchester City

Attack76
Defence74
Form73

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +3.0%Miss
Our model85.0%
The market82.0%
Edge
+3.0
Odds
1.22

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +1.3%Close
Our model70.7%
The market69.4%
Edge
+1.3
Odds
1.44

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +0.1%Correct
Our model66.8%
The market66.7%
Edge
+0.1
Odds
1.50

Match Winner

Bournemouth Win

Edge +24.4%Miss
Our model47.5%
The market23.1%
Edge
+24.4
Odds
4.33

Draw No Bet

Bournemouth (DNB)

Void
Our model46.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-11.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Edge +1.1%
Our model8.7%
The market7.6%
Edge
+1.1
Odds
13.18

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.7%

1-1

7.1% · actual

2-2

7.0%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.