Serie D badgeSerie D · 2 May 2026AI PICK

Brasil DE Pelotas badgeBrasil DE PelotasvsMarcílio Dias badgeMarcílio Dias

0 - 1
Miss

Full time · 1 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
62.1%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+12.1 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Brasil DE Pelotas Win

Match Winner · best price 2.00

MediumEdge +12.1%
Our model62.1%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 12.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Brasil DE Pelotas badge

Brasil DE Pelotas

Attack66
Defence57
Form58
Marcílio Dias badge

Marcílio Dias

Attack47
Defence65
Form47

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +13.6%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market71.4%
Edge
+13.6
Odds
1.40

Match Winner

Brasil DE Pelotas Win

Edge +12.1%Miss
Our model62.1%
The market50.0%
Edge
+12.1
Odds
2.00

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +4.1%Miss
Our model58.2%
The market54.1%
Edge
+4.1
Odds
1.85

Draw No Bet

Brasil DE Pelotas (DNB)

Miss
Our model57.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-0.1
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +0.3%Miss
Our model52.9%
The market52.6%
Edge
+0.3
Odds
1.90

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.