Serie D - Girone B badgeSerie D - Girone B · 3 May 2026AI PICK

Breno badgeBrenovsVilla Valle badgeVilla Valle

2 - 1
Close

Full time · 2 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
75.7%
Market said
52.6%
Edge
+23.1 pts
Best odds
1.90

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.90

High confidenceEdge +23.1%
Our model75.7%
The market52.6%

The market underrated this by 23.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Breno badge

Breno

Attack30
Defence37
Form24
Villa Valle badge

Villa Valle

Attack38
Defence42
Form38

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +13.6%
Our model85.0%
The market71.4%
Edge
+13.6
Odds
1.40

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +23.1%Close
Our model75.7%
The market52.6%
Edge
+23.1
Odds
1.90

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +8.8%Miss
Our model62.9%
The market54.1%
Edge
+8.8
Odds
1.85

Draw No Bet

Breno (DNB)

Correct
Our model47.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-10.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Breno Win

Correct
Our model44.2%
The market50.0%
Edge
-5.8
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.