Premier League · 23 August 2026AI PICK
Brightonvs
Aston Villa
4 - 0Correct
Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 60.0%
- Market said
- 58.0%
- Edge
- +2.0 pts
- Best odds
- 1.67
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.67
MediumEdge +2.0%
Our model60.0%
The market58.0%
The market underrated this by 2.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
Every market we called
3 of 4 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
Edge +0.1%
Our model72.6%
The market72.5%
- Edge
- +0.1
- Odds
- 1.38
Draw No Bet
Brighton (DNB)
Edge +5.4%Correct
Our model64.6%
The market59.2%
- Edge
- +5.4
- Odds
- 1.69
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
Edge +2.0%Correct
Our model60.0%
The market58.0%
- Edge
- +2.0
- Odds
- 1.67
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
Miss
Our model54.2%
The market63.1%
- Edge
- -8.9
- Odds
- 1.53
Match Winner
Brighton Win
Edge +5.6%Correct
Our model50.0%
The market44.4%
- Edge
- +5.6
- Odds
- 2.25
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.