Brightonvs
Leeds
1 - 1Full time · 1 of 3 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 58.6%
- Market said
- 53.0%
- Edge
- +5.6 pts
- Best odds
- 1.88
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.88
The market underrated this by 5.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Brighton
Leeds
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 3 right, 1 close
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -7.5
- Odds
- 1.25
Draw No Bet
Brighton (DNB)
- Edge
- -5.2
- Odds
- 1.42
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +5.6
- Odds
- 1.88
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -4.3
- Odds
- 1.70
Match Winner
Brighton Win
- Edge
- -1.3
- Odds
- 1.89
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.