Bristol Cityvs
Millwall
0 - 2Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 57.8%
- Market said
- 51.9%
- Edge
- +5.9 pts
- Best odds
- 1.91
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.91
The market underrated this by 5.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
Every market we called
2 of 5 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- +2.7
- Odds
- 1.44
Draw No Bet
Bristol City (DNB)
- Edge
- +4.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +5.9
- Odds
- 1.91
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +5.5
- Odds
- 2.00
Match Winner
Bristol City Win
- Edge
- +1.1
- Odds
- 2.38
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- -2.1
- Odds
- 6.25
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
13.9%
1-1
14.0%
0-0
12.7%
We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.