Championship badgeChampionship · 15 August 2026AI PICK

Bristol City badgeBristol CityvsMillwall badgeMillwall

0 - 2
Correct

Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.8%
Market said
51.9%
Edge
+5.9 pts
Best odds
1.91

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.91

MediumEdge +5.9%
Our model57.8%
The market51.9%

The market underrated this by 5.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

Every market we called

2 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +2.7%Miss
Our model72.1%
The market69.4%
Edge
+2.7
Odds
1.44

Draw No Bet

Bristol City (DNB)

Edge +4.9%Miss
Our model62.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+4.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +5.9%Correct
Our model57.8%
The market51.9%
Edge
+5.9
Odds
1.91

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +5.5%Correct
Our model52.8%
The market47.3%
Edge
+5.5
Odds
2.00

Match Winner

Bristol City Win

Edge +1.1%Miss
Our model43.1%
The market42.0%
Edge
+1.1
Odds
2.38

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model13.9%
The market16.0%
Edge
-2.1
Odds
6.25

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

13.9%

1-1

14.0%

0-0

12.7%

We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.