Championship badgeChampionship · 29 August 2026AI PICK

Bristol City badgeBristol CityvsPortsmouth badgePortsmouth

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 4 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.0%
Market said
53.2%
Edge
+0.8 pts
Best odds
1.81

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.81

LowEdge +0.8%
Our model54.0%
The market53.2%

The market underrated this by 0.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Bristol City badge

Bristol City

Attack42
Defence55
Form33
Portsmouth badge

Portsmouth

Attack39
Defence43
Form33

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model72.0%
The market76.3%
Edge
-4.3
Odds
1.31

Draw No Bet

Bristol City (DNB)

Correct
Our model60.1%
The market60.2%
Edge
-0.1
Odds
1.66

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +0.8%Correct
Our model54.0%
The market53.2%
Edge
+0.8
Odds
1.81

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Close
Our model53.8%
The market55.3%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
1.74

Match Winner

Bristol City Win

Correct
Our model42.1%
The market46.3%
Edge
-4.2
Odds
2.16

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model10.1%
The market11.6%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
8.60

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

10.1%

1-1

14.7%

0-0

10.8%

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.