Championship badgeChampionship · 2 May 2026AI PICK

Bristol City badgeBristol CityvsStoke City badgeStoke City

2 - 0
Correct

Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
59.6%
Market said
45.5%
Edge
+14.1 pts
Best odds
2.20

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.20

MediumEdge +14.1%
Our model59.6%
The market45.5%

The market underrated this by 14.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Bristol City badge

Bristol City

Attack39
Defence43
Form31
Stoke City badge

Stoke City

Attack46
Defence35
Form27

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +14.1%Correct
Our model59.6%
The market45.5%
Edge
+14.1
Odds
2.20

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model53.8%
The market63.7%
Edge
-9.9
Odds
1.57

Match Winner

Bristol City Win

Edge +2.9%Correct
Our model52.9%
The market50.0%
Edge
+2.9
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Bristol City (DNB)

Correct
Our model48.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-9.1
Odds
1.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.