Bucaramangavs
Real Santander
5 - 0Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 61.5%
- Market said
- 55.6%
- Edge
- +5.9 pts
- Best odds
- 1.80
The call, locked before kick-off
MissUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.80
The market underrated this by 5.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Strong prediction - high confidence
How the two sides compared
Bucaramanga
Real Santander
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 4 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- -0.5
- Odds
- 1.17
Draw No Bet
Bucaramanga (DNB)
- Edge
- +4.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +5.9
- Odds
- 1.80
Match Winner
Bucaramanga Win
- Edge
- +6.8
- Odds
- 2.00
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +2.9
- Odds
- 2.62
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- +2.8
- Odds
- 5.32
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
21.6%
0-0
14.7%
2-0
11.9%
We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.