Segunda División badgeSegunda División · 1 April 2026AI PICK

Burgos badgeBurgosvsAD Ceuta FC badgeAD Ceuta FC

1 - 1
Miss

Full time · 2 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
59.9%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+9.9 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Burgos Win

Match Winner · best price 2.00

MediumEdge +9.9%
Our model59.9%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 9.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Double chance : Burgos or draw

How the two sides compared

Burgos badge

Burgos

Attack57
Defence100
Form87
AD Ceuta FC badge

AD Ceuta FC

Attack43
Defence14
Form40

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +18.6%
Our model90.0%
The market71.4%
Edge
+18.6
Odds
1.40

Match Winner

Burgos Win

Edge +9.9%Miss
Our model59.9%
The market50.0%
Edge
+9.9
Odds
2.00

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Close
Our model50.0%
The market52.6%
Edge
-2.6
Odds
1.90

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model50.0%
The market52.6%
Edge
-2.6
Odds
1.90

Goals Over/Under

Over 3.5 Goals

Miss
Our model50.0%
The market52.6%
Edge
-2.6
Odds
1.90

Goals Over/Under

Under 3.5 Goals

Correct
Our model50.0%
The market52.6%
Edge
-2.6
Odds
1.90

Draw No Bet

Burgos (DNB)

Void
Our model45.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-12.1
Odds
1.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.