Segunda División badgeSegunda División · 9 May 2026AI PICK

Burgos badgeBurgosvsAlmeria badgeAlmeria

0 - 0
Miss

Full time · 0 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
71.7%
Market said
49.3%
Edge
+22.4 pts
Best odds
2.03

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.03

High confidenceEdge +22.4%
Our model71.7%
The market49.3%

The market underrated this by 22.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Burgos badge

Burgos

Attack46
Defence99
Form60
Almeria badge

Almeria

Attack94
Defence40
Form76

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +10.9%Miss
Our model85.0%
The market74.1%
Edge
+10.9
Odds
1.35

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +22.4%Miss
Our model71.7%
The market49.3%
Edge
+22.4
Odds
2.03

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +7.0%Miss
Our model64.8%
The market57.8%
Edge
+7.0
Odds
1.73

Draw No Bet

Almeria (DNB)

Our model46.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-11.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Almeria Win

Our model30.0%
The market50.0%
Edge
-20.0
Odds
2.00

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Edge +1.2%
Our model9.1%
The market7.9%
Edge
+1.2
Odds
12.65

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.1%

1-3

7.6%

0-2

7.0%

We called 0 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.