Premier League badgePremier League · 22 April 2026AI PICK

Burnley badgeBurnleyvsManchester City badgeManchester City

0 - 1
Miss

Full time · 1 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

We called
Over 2.5 Goals
Model confidence
67.3%
Markets called
1 of 3 right
Final score
0 - 1

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.40

MediumEdge -4.1%
Our model67.3%
The market71.4%

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Burnley badge

Burnley

Attack47
Defence35
Form24
Manchester City badge

Manchester City

Attack76
Defence73
Form73

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model85.0%
The market89.3%
Edge
-4.3
Odds
1.12

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Miss
Our model67.3%
The market71.4%
Edge
-4.1
Odds
1.40

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +12.2%Miss
Our model64.6%
The market52.4%
Edge
+12.2
Odds
1.91

Draw No Bet

Burnley (DNB)

Our model43.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-14.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Burnley Win

Our model36.8%
The market50.0%
Edge
-13.2
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.