League Cup badgeLeague Cup · 8 August 2026AI PICK

Burnley badgeBurnleyvsNotts County badgeNotts County

1 - 1
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.5%
Market said
46.2%
Edge
+8.3 pts
Best odds
2.10

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.10

LowEdge +8.3%
Our model54.5%
The market46.2%

The market underrated this by 8.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Burnley badge

Burnley

Attack33
Defence35
Form11
Notts County badge

Notts County

Attack40
Defence54
Form27

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Draw No Bet

Notts County (DNB)

Void
Our model55.6%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +8.3%Correct
Our model54.5%
The market46.2%
Edge
+8.3
Odds
2.10

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +5.6%Miss
Our model53.6%
The market48.0%
Edge
+5.6
Odds
2.00

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +10.1%Correct
Our model53.6%
The market43.5%
Edge
+10.1
Odds
2.30

Match Winner

Notts County Win

Edge +14.8%Miss
Our model33.8%
The market19.0%
Edge
+14.8
Odds
5.25

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Miss
Our model10.3%
The market11.9%
Edge
-1.6
Odds
8.43

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

10.3%

1-1

15.0% · actual

0-0

11.8%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.