Burnleyvs
Wolves
1 - 1Full time · 0 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 60.2%
- Market said
- 44.4%
- Edge
- +15.8 pts
- Best odds
- 2.25
The call, locked before kick-off
MissBoth Teams To Score: No
Both Teams To Score · best price 2.25
The market underrated this by 15.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Burnley
Wolves
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
0 of 3 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +8.1
- Odds
- 1.30
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +15.8
- Odds
- 2.25
Draw No Bet
Burnley (DNB)
- Edge
- -5.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Burnley Win
- Edge
- +11.2
- Odds
- 2.50
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- +2.2
- Odds
- 6.77
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
17.0%
0-1
15.5%
0-0
12.9%
We called 0 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.