Burton Albionvs
AFC Wimbledon
4 - 1Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 58.6%
- Market said
- 52.5%
- Edge
- +6.1 pts
- Best odds
- 1.84
The call, locked before kick-off
MissUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.84
The market underrated this by 6.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Burton Albion
AFC Wimbledon
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 5 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -2.0
- Odds
- 1.26
Draw No Bet
Burton Albion (DNB)
- Edge
- +3.3
- Odds
- 1.56
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +6.1
- Odds
- 1.84
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +6.8
- Odds
- 1.98
Match Winner
Burton Albion Win
- Edge
- -2.8
- Odds
- 2.02
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- -2.2
- Odds
- 5.90
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
14.7%
2-0
7.4%
2-1
5.9%
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.