League One badgeLeague One · 2 September 2026AI PICK

Burton Albion badgeBurton AlbionvsAFC Wimbledon badgeAFC Wimbledon

4 - 1
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.6%
Market said
52.5%
Edge
+6.1 pts
Best odds
1.84

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.84

MediumEdge +6.1%
Our model58.6%
The market52.5%

The market underrated this by 6.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Burton Albion badge

Burton Albion

Attack26
Defence61
Form33
AFC Wimbledon badge

AFC Wimbledon

Attack25
Defence54
Form33

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model77.4%
The market79.4%
Edge
-2.0
Odds
1.26

Draw No Bet

Burton Albion (DNB)

Edge +3.3%Correct
Our model67.4%
The market64.1%
Edge
+3.3
Odds
1.56

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +6.1%Miss
Our model58.6%
The market52.5%
Edge
+6.1
Odds
1.84

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +6.8%Miss
Our model55.2%
The market48.4%
Edge
+6.8
Odds
1.98

Match Winner

Burton Albion Win

Correct
Our model46.7%
The market49.5%
Edge
-2.8
Odds
2.02

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model14.7%
The market16.9%
Edge
-2.2
Odds
5.90

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

14.7%

2-0

7.4%

2-1

5.9%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.