Buxtonvs
Hereford
2 - 1Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 57.4%
- Market said
- 52.4%
- Edge
- +5.0 pts
- Best odds
- 1.91
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectBuxton Win
Match Winner · best price 1.91
The market underrated this by 5.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Strong prediction - high confidence
Every market we called
3 of 5 right, 1 close
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -4.6
- Odds
- 1.28
Draw No Bet
Buxton (DNB)
- Edge
- +11.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Buxton Win
- Edge
- +5.0
- Odds
- 1.91
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +10.2
- Odds
- 2.25
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +10.1
- Odds
- 2.25
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- -2.4
- Odds
- 5.52
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
15.7%
2-0
14.5%
1-1
11.6%
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.